Source Post

Nvidia Just Broke Below $200 — My Valuation Says This

Jun 28, 2026

The creator analyzes Nvidia's recent stock pullback, noting that while the share price has fallen significantly, the company's fundamental business performance remains exceptionally strong with triple-digit growth in key metrics like revenue and EPS. The core market concern revolves around the sustainability of AI spending by mega-cap tech companies and its impact on Nvidia's future growth, rather than a weakening of Nvidia's business itself.

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Tickers discussed in this post

MUNeutralResearch Only

Micron is mentioned as an example of strong demand for AI hardware.

AMDNeutralLow ConvictionSignal-backedSecondary

AMD is presented as a competitor to Nvidia, with lower margins but aiming to capitalize on Nvidia's high profitability.

TSLANeutralResearch Only

Tesla is noted as being down 24% from its high, part of the broader correction in mega-cap tech stocks.

AMZNNeutralResearch Only

Amazon is mentioned as being in the red on the market heat map, indicating a broader market sell-off affecting mega-cap tech.

METANeutralResearch Only

Meta is highlighted as being down around 31% from its peak, reflecting a significant correction in mega-cap tech stocks.

GOOGNeutralResearch Only

Google is mentioned as being in the red on the market heat map, indicating a broader market sell-off affecting mega-cap tech.

MSFTNeutralResearch Only

Microsoft is noted as being down over 30% from its high, contributing to the broader market correction in AI and mega-cap tech.

NVDANeutralHigh ConvictionSignal-backedPrimary

Nvidia's stock has pulled back significantly, but its fundamental business performance remains exceptionally strong, suggesting it's not yet a buy but warrants holding.

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