Source Post

U.S. Stocks are at 1929-Level Extremes | The Hard Asset Hedge | Adrian Day

WealthionApr 28, 2026

The US stock market is at extreme valuation levels, comparable to 1929, with many companies issuing profit warnings due to rising oil prices and increased costs. Despite these fundamental concerns and signs of market excess like high margin levels, the market has performed exceptionally well. The creator believes the risk-reward is unfavorable at current levels, even though predicting short-term market movements is difficult.

Linked Mentions

Tickers discussed in this post

ARIBullishHigh ConvictionSignal-backedPrimary

Aries Capital (ARI) is a conservative, well-diversified BDC that is a good buy due to its ability to cover its dividend and strong structure.

ARCCNeutralMedium ConvictionSignal-backedSecondary

Aries Capital (ARCC) is a favored BDC, currently down from ~21 to 18.70, presenting a potential opportunity.

MSCIBullishHigh ConvictionSignal-backedPrimary

Expects a multi-year outperformance cycle for World ex-US markets, driven by historical trends and current market dynamics.

NVDANeutralLow ConvictionResearch Only

Nvidia's earnings are mentioned as an example of a prediction that may be irrelevant to an investment advisor's core job.

Linked Signals

Tracked calls opened from this post

MSCI
buy opened Apr 28, 2026
+5.97%
ARI
buy opened Apr 28, 2026
-0.54%