Source Post

The SaaS Situation Is INSANE

The creator discusses the current state of SaaS stocks, many of which are down significantly, and analyzes the impact of AI on various companies. They evaluate Adobe, Service Now, Salesforce, Intuit, Constellation Software, and Microsoft, assessing AI as either a threat or a tailwind for each, and assigning them to tiers based on disruptability. The creator discusses the impact of AI on various tech companies, categorizing them into tiers. Microsoft is questioned regarding its AI transition, while C Limited and Mercado Libre are placed in S tier due to their diversified businesses and AI as an enabler. AMD is also considered S tier, benefiting from the AI compute demand and potentially challenging Nvidia's GPU dominance with its own ecosystem.

Linked Mentions

Tickers discussed in this post

NVDANeutralMedium ConvictionSignal-backedSecondary

Nvidia's GPU dominance via CUDA may face challenges as AMD's ROCm ecosystem potentially becomes more interoperable with AI.

MELIBullishHigh ConvictionSignal-backedPrimary

Mercado Libre is considered S-tier, similar to C Limited, with a strong e-commerce and fintech arm, and AI is not seen as a direct threat.

ABullishHigh ConvictionSignal-backedPrimary

C Limited is an S-tier company with diversified businesses in e-commerce, financials, and gaming, where AI is seen as an enabler rather than a threat.

MSFTNeutralMedium ConvictionSignal-backedPrimary

Microsoft is considered an A-tier company, but faces a significant transition from a seat-based model to AI agents, with uncertainty about its long-term advantage.

ATIBullishHigh ConvictionSignal-backedPrimary

Constellation Software is an A-tier company due to its conglomerate of vertical market software businesses, which operate as mini-monopolies in niche markets.

INTUNeutralMedium ConvictionSignal-backedPrimary

Intuit is a B-tier company, with QuickBooks being less at risk, while TurboTax faces potential AI disruption despite current trust and human element advantages.

CRMNeutralMedium ConvictionSignal-backedPrimary

Salesforce is a B-tier company, facing challenges from tech debt and slower adoption of AI compared to Service Now, despite its strong position as a system of record.

NOWBullishHigh ConvictionSignal-backedPrimary

Service Now is an A-tier company poised to capitalize on AI by providing governance and guardrails for AI agents, leveraging its existing data infrastructure.

ADBENeutralMedium ConvictionSignal-backedPrimary

Adobe is considered a B-tier company regarding AI risk, with its enterprise business being less susceptible to disruption than its consumer-facing creative asset generation.

Linked Signals

Tracked calls opened from this post

NOW
buy opened May 14, 2026
+41.05%
MELI
buy opened May 14, 2026
+4.07%
ATI
buy opened May 14, 2026
+9.79%
A
buy opened May 14, 2026
+19.24%