Source Post

Super Investors Biggest Buys (Some Are Terrible)

Varun reviews the Q1 investment moves of several super investors, grading their performance and strategies. He notes Bill Ackman's rotation from Google to Microsoft, Berkshire Hathaway's significant portfolio changes under Greg Abel, Terry Smith's large sales of Intuit and Nike, and David Tepper's increased positions in Amazon and Uber. This segment reviews several investors' recent portfolio moves, highlighting buys in Crocs, Amazon, Constellation Software, and Simply Good Foods, while noting mixed sentiment on Mag 7 stocks and a contrarian bet on SaaS companies like Salesforce and ServiceNow. The creator discusses several investors and their recent portfolio moves, highlighting both positive and negative actions. Key mentions include Akre's contrarian SAS bets (Salesforce, ServiceNow) despite selling quality businesses (Brookfield, Mastercard, Visa), Dalio's broad AI semiconductor buys (Amazon, TSM, Micron), Druckenmiller's active trading (Google, Sandisk) and macro bets, Burry's put options on AI/semiconductors (Nvidia, QQQ, SOX) and interest in Adobe and MELI, and Aschenbrenner's AI infrastructure focus (Bloom Energy, Coreweave, Intel) and recent shift to put options against semiconductors. The creator discusses a new investor's strategy, noting their shift from AI infrastructure calls to buying put options on semiconductors, aligning with Michael Burry's bearish stance. While acknowledging the investor's intelligence and connections, the creator places them in a 'B tier' for idea generation rather than direct cloning.

Linked Mentions

Tickers discussed in this post

INTCBullishHigh ConvictionSignal-backedSecondary

Leopold Aschenbrenner's Q4 portfolio was all-in on AI infrastructure, including Intel.

CRWVBullishHigh ConvictionSignal-backedSecondary

Leopold Aschenbrenner's Q4 portfolio was all-in on AI infrastructure, including Coreweave.

BEBullishHigh ConvictionSignal-backedSecondary

Leopold Aschenbrenner's Q4 portfolio was all-in on AI infrastructure, including Bloom Energy.

MELIBullishMedium ConvictionSignal-backedSecondary

Michael Burry's value instincts are real, and the creator finds his interest in MELI incredibly interesting.

ADBEBullishMedium ConvictionSignal-backedSecondary

Michael Burry's value instincts are real, and the creator likes his interest in Adobe.

ICLRBearishHigh ConvictionSignal-backedPrimary

Michael Burry has put options on SOX, betting that the AI semiconductor trade is a bubble.

NVDABearishHigh ConvictionSignal-backedPrimary

Michael Burry has put options on Nvidia, betting that the AI semiconductor trade is a bubble.

VBearishMedium ConvictionSignal-backedSecondary

The creator disapproves of Chuck Akre selling Visa, considering it one of the best businesses in the world.

MABearishMedium ConvictionSignal-backedSecondary

The creator disapproves of Chuck Akre selling Mastercard, considering it one of the best businesses in the world.

BAMBearishMedium ConvictionSignal-backedSecondary

The creator disapproves of Chuck Akre selling Brookfield, considering it one of the best businesses in the world.

NOWBullishMedium ConvictionSignal-backedPrimary

Chuck Akre is taking a contrarian stance on SaaS by initiating positions in ServiceNow, buying when the market fears AI's impact on the sector.

CRMBullishMedium ConvictionSignal-backedPrimary

Chuck Akre is making a contrarian bet on SaaS by opening new positions in Salesforce, buying into the sector when others believe AI will kill it.

SMPLBullishMedium ConvictionSignal-backedPrimary

Howard Marks added Simply Good Foods (Quest protein bars/Atkins) to his portfolio, and the creator finds the Quest chips appealing despite the price, warranting further diligence.

MUBearishMedium ConvictionSignal-backedSecondary

Howard Marks bought Micron, praised it, but then sold it, which proved to be a poor decision given Micron's subsequent performance.

ATIBullishHigh ConvictionSignal-backedPrimary

Perby is buying Constellation Software (CSU) and its related entities (Topicus, Lumine), viewing it as cloning the right compounder and a strong move despite usual criticism.

CROXBullishHigh ConvictionSignal-backedPrimary

Li Lu increased his holding in Crocs by 40%, viewing it as a fantastic value play with strong cash flow, high margins, and personalization through Jibbitz.

MSCINeutralLow ConvictionResearch Only

MSCI is noted as a new, potentially exploratory position for Li Lu, alongside Moody's and S&P Global.

UBERBullishHigh ConvictionSignal-backedPrimary

David Tepper tripled his Uber position, making it a significant holding alongside Bill Ackman's stake, prompting Varun to investigate further.

NKEBearishHigh ConvictionSignal-backedPrimary

Terry Smith completely divested his Nike shares, a position previously considered a high conviction play.

INTUBearishHigh ConvictionSignal-backedPrimary

Terry Smith sold his entire stake in Intuit, a stock he had doubled down on the previous quarter, which Varun views critically.

MBullishMedium ConvictionSignal-backedSecondary

Varun believes Macy's is a good value play due to its real estate ownership and attractive cash flow and PE ratios.

DALBearishHigh ConvictionSignal-backedPrimary

Varun 'genuinely hates' Berkshire Hathaway's purchase of Delta Air Lines, citing Buffett's historical poor performance in airlines.

HGVBearishMedium ConvictionSignal-backedSecondary

Bill Ackman sold his stake in Hilton, a business Varun acknowledges as good but likely sold to reinvest in big tech.

METANeutralMedium ConvictionSignal-backedSecondary

Meta is one of Bill Ackman's top three holdings, alongside Microsoft and Amazon.

AMZNNeutralMedium ConvictionSignal-backedSecondary

Amazon is a significant holding for Bill Ackman and David Tepper, with Tepper doubling his position.

MSFTNeutralMedium ConvictionSignal-backedSecondary

Bill Ackman rotated into Microsoft from Google, viewing it as a better value at 21X forward earnings, though Varun is less enthusiastic.

Linked Signals

Tracked calls opened from this post

INTU
sell opened May 18, 2026
+20.10%
NVDA
sell opened May 18, 2026
+1.26%
UBER
buy opened May 18, 2026
-4.61%
NKE
sell opened May 18, 2026
-2.72%
INTC
buy opened May 18, 2026
-0.22%
ICLR
sell opened May 18, 2026
-20.88%
DAL
sell opened May 18, 2026
-13.92%
CRWV
buy opened May 18, 2026
+14.94%
CROX
buy opened May 18, 2026
+20.47%
BE
buy opened May 18, 2026
+17.06%
ATI
buy opened May 18, 2026
+19.29%