Source Post

I Valued Every Stock In My $1.3 Million Portfolio

Joseph CarlsonMar 15, 2026

The creator analyzes every stock in his $1.3 million portfolio, performing historical and future valuations to determine if they are attractively priced. He discusses Meta, Amazon, ASML, Costco, Duolingo, Google, Intuit, Mastercard, Moody's, Microsoft, Netflix, S&P Global, and Texas Roadhouse, providing his outlook on each.

Linked Mentions

Tickers discussed in this post

TXRHNeutralMedium ConvictionSignal-backedPrimary

Texas Roadhouse is considered fairly valued, with projections indicating a 16% return assuming current multiples, but returns could drop significantly if valuation compresses.

SPGIBullishHigh ConvictionSignal-backedPrimary

S&P Global is undervalued, with recent price drops due to AI disruption fears creating an opportunity, and it's expected to provide market-beating returns if its wide moat remains intact.

NFLXBullishHigh ConvictionSignal-backedPrimary

Netflix is surging but still considered attractive, with projections of over 20% annual returns driven by subscriber growth, price increases, and content strategy.

MSFTBullishHigh ConvictionSignal-backedPrimary

Microsoft is considered undervalued, with recent valuation compression due to software fears presenting a good buying opportunity, projecting a 20% return with multiple expansion.

MCOBullishMedium ConvictionSignal-backedPrimary

Moody's has sold off recently, making it the cheapest it's been in recent history, and is expected to see its valuation multiple expand as AI disruption fears subside, leading to a good return.

MABullishHigh ConvictionSignal-backedPrimary

Mastercard is considered undervalued, with recent valuations trending down and future projections indicating a healthy 17% annual return for this wide-moat company.

INTUBullishHigh ConvictionSignal-backedPrimary

Intuit is trading at its cheapest point in 10 years across all key valuation metrics, offering a projected 20% return and is considered a strong software stock despite AI concerns.

DUOLBullishMedium ConvictionSignal-backedPrimary

Duolingo, despite being the smallest and worst-performing position, is currently undervalued with projections of a 17% annual return, though it remains a volatile stock.

COSTBearishHigh ConvictionSignal-backedPrimary

Costco is a favorite company with a great business model, but it has become overvalued, with historical metrics showing significant increases and future projections yielding only a 9% return.

ASMLNeutralLow ConvictionSignal-backedPrimary

ASML, despite its technological supremacy and wide moat, appears overvalued historically and on future projections, yielding a return below the desired 15% hurdle rate.

AMZNBullishHigh ConvictionSignal-backedPrimary

Amazon is a large, beloved position with strong fundamentals and future potential, projecting a 19.98% annual return based on earnings per share growth and a reasonable multiple.

METABullishHigh ConvictionSignal-backedPrimary

Meta is a recent, large conviction buy, with historical valuation showing it's near its cheapest in a decade and future projections indicating a 20.3% annual return, making it an attractive investment.

Linked Signals

Tracked calls opened from this post

SPGI
buy opened Mar 15, 2026
-1.19%
NFLX
buy opened Mar 15, 2026
-12.57%
MSFT
buy opened Mar 15, 2026
+7.08%
META
buy opened Mar 15, 2026
-2.54%
MA
buy opened Mar 15, 2026
-4.08%
INTU
buy opened Mar 15, 2026
-26.78%
COST
sell opened Mar 15, 2026
+5.37%
AMZN
buy opened Mar 15, 2026
+23.52%