Source Post

Replay- US Stock Market - S&P 500 SPY Price Projections & Cycle Timing

Steve MillerApr 15, 2026

The creator analyzes the stock market using cycle timing and momentum indicators, projecting a high probability of a bearish scenario with a significant decline into August. While a short-term rebound is possible, the overall trend is expected to be downward, with a lower probability bullish case for a new high. The analysis also touches on specific sectors and stocks, noting strength in energy and weakness in financials, travel, and technology.

Linked Mentions

Tickers discussed in this post

SEDGBullishMedium ConvictionSignal-backedSecondary

SolarEdge is mentioned as one of the very bullish stocks, though the creator notes that energy sector strength might reverse.

TSLABearishMedium ConvictionSignal-backedSecondary

Tesla is listed as a negative stock, indicating bearish conditions for the company.

FSLRBearishMedium ConvictionSignal-backedSecondary

First Solar is listed as a negative stock, indicating bearish conditions for the company.

LVSBearishMedium ConvictionSignal-backedSecondary

Las Vegas Sands is listed as a negative stock, indicating bearish conditions for the company.

FBearishMedium ConvictionSignal-backedSecondary

Ford is listed among technology and financial sector stocks that are currently negative.

ALKBearishMedium ConvictionSignal-backedSecondary

Alaska Air Group is mentioned as a very bearish airline stock, indicating a negative sentiment for the company.

CCLBearishMedium ConvictionSignal-backedSecondary

Carnival Corp is highlighted as a very bearish travel stock, suggesting a negative outlook for the company.

COFBearishMedium ConvictionSignal-backedSecondary

Capital One is listed among financial stocks that are currently very bearish, indicating a negative outlook.

VLOBearishHigh ConvictionSignal-backedSecondary

Valero Energy is identified as a very bullish energy stock, but the creator expects it to decline if oil prices fall or the war ends.

DVNBearishHigh ConvictionSignal-backedSecondary

Devon Energy is noted as a very bullish energy stock, but the creator predicts a sell-off if oil prices decline or the war concludes.

ATIBearishHigh ConvictionSignal-backedSecondary

XOP, an oil and gas ETF, is currently very bullish but is expected to face selling pressure if the war concludes or oil prices drop.

EOGBearishHigh ConvictionSignal-backedSecondary

EOG Resources is identified as a very bullish energy stock, but the creator expects it to decline if geopolitical tensions ease or oil prices fall.

Linked Signals

Tracked calls opened from this post

VLO
sell opened Apr 15, 2026
-9.63%
ATI
sell opened Apr 15, 2026
-9.48%
EOG
sell opened Apr 15, 2026
-3.74%
DVN
sell opened Apr 15, 2026
-2.14%