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What is the probability of losing money in the stock market? If you hold for one day, it’s essentially a co...

investwithgigiMay 2, 2026

This reel discusses the historical probability of negative returns in the S&P 500 based on holding period, showing that longer holding periods significantly reduce the risk of loss. It suggests that investing in the entire market, rather than individual stocks, is key to achieving these results.

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The S&P 500 historically shows a decreasing probability of negative returns with longer holding periods, reaching 0% over 20 years.

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