Creator Post Archive
Larry Berman Official
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Sep 26, 2026
Weekly Update with Larry Berman – September 26, 2026
The creator discusses the global rise in bond yields, noting that while higher yields are attractive from a real return perspective, the rapid increase is causing concern. They analyze inflation expectations and government debt, suggesting that while US debt is likely to be repaid, the market is debating the price at which this will occur. The creator also expresses skepticism about current earnings growth expectations in the stock market, believing they are overly optimistic and potentially driven by a generalization of AI benefits across all sectors.
Sep 19, 2026
Weekly Update with Larry Berman – September 19, 2026
Larry Berman discusses the Fed meeting, yield curve flattening, and energy markets. He believes the market's pricing of future rate hikes is overly aggressive and that current inflation drivers are not solely solvable by raising rates. He also touches on the upcoming US midterms and their potential impact on geopolitical events, while maintaining a generally positive outlook for equities based on earnings growth expectations.
Sep 5, 2026
Weekly Update with Larry Berman – September 5, 2026
Larry Berman discusses the current state of the labor market in both the US and Canada, noting a slowdown in job growth but not yet a cause for alarm. He touches on currency fluctuations, commodity prices, and bond yields, suggesting that central banks in both countries are likely to maintain a wait-and-see approach regarding interest rates. Berman also expresses skepticism about the idea of further interest rate hikes, even if inflation surprises to the upside.
Aug 29, 2026
Weekly Update with Larry Berman – August 29, 2026
Larry Berman discusses the market's reaction to Jerome Powell's comments from Jackson Hole, noting initial hawkish interpretations that led to falling yields, followed by a reversal. He expresses skepticism about further rate hikes, believing they won't fix inflation driven by AI capex spending. Berman highlights Nvidia's earnings beat but points to a significant bearish reversal candle on the chart, suggesting the stock may test support and that the market may be pricing in too much good news.
Aug 22, 2026
Weekly Update with Larry Berman – August 22, 2026
Larry Berman discusses the Treasury Secretary's yield curve twist policy, noting the market's initial reaction and subsequent return to pre-announcement levels. He highlights Nvidia and Broadcom's expected price movements based on options data and observes that AI is driving S&P earnings growth, but expresses concern about the crowded AI trade. Berman strongly recommends a risk-free trade involving buying TLT with a long-dated put option as a hedge against equities.
Aug 15, 2026
Weekly Update with Larry Berman – August 15, 2026
Larry Berman discusses recent US economic data, including CPI and retail sales, noting softer inflation numbers but persistent CAPEX-driven inflation due to AI spending. He highlights high bond yields and Jackson Hole as key events for the bond market, while seeing Nvidia as a catalyst for equity markets. Berman believes the market is still in a "buy-dips" phase, supported by broadening earnings, but expresses concern as 2027 approaches.
Aug 8, 2026
Weekly Update with Larry Berman – August 8, 2026
Larry Berman discusses the current economic landscape, highlighting weak US employment numbers and weakening inflation expectations, which he sees as good news for inflation but concerning for the economy. He notes strong earnings growth as a driver for the S&P 500 reaching new highs. Berman also touches on geopolitical events, crude oil, bond yields, and a successful tactical trade in gold.
Jun 13, 2026
Weekly Update with Larry Berman - June 13, 2026
The creator discusses the initial trading day of SpaceX, noting its oversubscribed IPO and significant trading volume. He outlines key technical levels for the upcoming week, suggesting a close below $155 would be bearish. He also touches on the potential impact of SpaceX's inclusion in the QQQ index and its effect on the NASA ETF, expressing caution about overhead supply in the coming months. The creator also briefly comments on crude oil prices and a potential deal with Iran.
May 30, 2026
Weekly Update with Larry Berman - May 30, 2026
The creator discusses market leadership, noting that semiconductor ETFs like SMH and AIQ have been strong performers, but the Procure Space ETF (ticker not explicitly mentioned but implied by context) has been the strongest recently due to SpaceX's upcoming IPO. He expresses caution about SpaceX's rumored valuation and suggests trimming positions. He also reiterates a bullish stance on long-term Treasury bonds (TLT) due to easing inflation concerns.
May 23, 2026
Weekly Update with Larry Berman - May 23, 2026
The creator discusses the current market sentiment, noting the S&P 500 retesting highs and the importance of key support levels. He highlights AI as a primary GDP driver and expresses a contrarian view on long-term Treasury bonds, seeing current high yields as a buying opportunity. The creator also touches on inflation expectations, referencing the TIPS ETF.
May 16, 2026
Weekly Update with Larry Berman - May 16, 2026
The creator discusses global bond yields, noting they are higher across the board and putting upward pressure on markets. Despite inflation concerns and geopolitical risks, long-term inflation expectations remain anchored. The creator sees a buying opportunity in long-duration bonds, specifically mentioning TLT, and is prepared for potential yield increases in their bond fund.
May 9, 2026
Weekly Update with Larry Berman - May 9, 2026
The creator discusses the underperformance of the MSCI USA Gender Diversity ETF compared to the S&P 500, attributing it to the lack of female representation in the C-suites of MAG 7 stocks. He then shifts focus to the tech sector's leadership, particularly in AI, highlighting the outperformance of active ETFs like BAI over passive ones like AIQ. Finally, he touches on crude oil prices, noting a recent collapse after a breakout above $80, but still anticipates higher prices in the medium term.
May 2, 2026
Weekly Update with Larry Berman - May 2, 2026
Larry Berman discusses the strong earnings season for the S&P 500, with expectations rising significantly. He notes that despite high valuations, the market may continue to climb as long as the labor market remains stable. He also touches on rising global interest rates and the persistent range-bound behavior of crude oil, suggesting a breakout is likely if geopolitical tensions escalate.
Apr 25, 2026
Weekly Update with Larry Berman - April 25, 2026
The market reached new all-time highs despite struggling throughout the week, with a late Friday rally attributed to optimism about a potential deal. Earnings have been strong, but market breadth is not robust, suggesting a narrow and potentially unsustainable market. The creator expresses concern about the ongoing conflict and its potential impact on inflation, noting that crude oil prices remain elevated and could signal a more prolonged inflationary period if they break out above $80.
Apr 18, 2026
Weekly Update with Larry Berman - April 18, 2026
The creator discusses the market's excitement over potential de-escalation in the Middle East, leading to new all-time highs in the S&P 500. He notes the upcoming earnings season could extend the rally. While acknowledging the market's upward momentum, he remains skeptical about Iran's nuclear ambitions and expects regime change. He also touches on commodities, particularly crude oil's price range, and the Canadian dollar's correlation with oil prices and the Liberal majority in Canada.
Apr 11, 2026
Weekly Update with Larry Berman - April 11, 2026
The creator discusses the market's reaction to geopolitical events and inflation concerns, focusing on crude oil futures and bond markets. He highlights the importance of the December crude oil contract staying below $70 to avoid significant inflation worries and notes that the TLT bond ETF needs to stay above $90 to signal that inflation is under control and the Fed can lower rates.
Apr 4, 2026
Weekly Update with Larry Berman - April 4, 2026
The creator discusses the impact of geopolitical events on oil prices and bond markets, noting that while oil prices have spiked, the futures curve suggests a temporary situation. He expresses a bullish view on long-term Treasury bonds, anticipating significant returns over the next year or two, especially in a hard economic landing scenario. He also notes that energy sector ETFs like XLE and IXC have underperformed recently and suspects they may continue to do so, while the S&P 500 has broken its 200-day moving average, which has historically been a bearish signal.
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