Creator Post Archive
Value Investing with Sven Carlin, Ph.D.
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Apr 15, 2026
Sven Claude AI Buys: Copart Nasdaq: CPRT, Constellation Software TSE: CSU, Topicus, CVE: TOI
The creator discusses stocks mentioned by an AI, including Copart (CPRT) and Constellation Software (CSU). While the AI suggests buying Copart due to its value and Constellation Software as a compounder, the creator expresses reservations about both, finding Copart still too expensive and Constellation's business model's cash flow usage questionable. The creator also shares his experience using AI for research, highlighting its limitations in understanding nuances and real-world experience.
Apr 15, 2026
HYPERINFLATION AHEAD? My story...
The creator shares a personal story of hyperinflation experienced in his home country to illustrate the potential for global inflation. He discusses factors like money printing, questionable investments, and geopolitical issues contributing to debased currency and reduced purchasing power. While not predicting hyperinflation, he emphasizes that current inflation levels are significant and discusses strategies like long-term mortgages as potential hedges.
Apr 15, 2026
News (Iran, Oil, Private Credit) vs. Real Long-Term Risks Piling!
The creator discusses current global risks like the situation in Iran and issues in private credit, contrasting them with market resilience and optimistic earnings projections. He questions whether the market is adequately pricing in long-term risks and suggests that while many are focused on short-term gains, a long-term investment strategy should account for potential shocks and uncertainties, highlighting Berkshire Hathaway's large cash position as a sign of caution.
Apr 15, 2026
Nvidia Stock - I listened to Jensen Huang for 3 hours (GTC & MS talks)
The creator analyzes Nvidia's (NVDA) risk and reward after listening to Jensen Huang's presentations. While acknowledging Nvidia's strong position in AI infrastructure and potential for significant revenue growth, the creator expresses concerns about the sustainability of hyperscaler spending, potential margin compression, and competition, leading to a cautious outlook despite the bullish case presented by Wall Street.
Apr 15, 2026
JPM's Fundamental Guide To Markets Q2 2026 (no wars, just what matters)
The creator discusses the current market conditions, highlighting high valuations and unrealistic earnings expectations, particularly driven by AI hype. He contrasts Wall Street's bullish bias with fundamental investor principles, emphasizing valuation and long-term growth. The video also touches on economic concerns like unsustainable debt, potential recessions, and the risks of money printing, suggesting a focus on owning businesses with strong moats as a hedge against inflation.
Apr 15, 2026
Buybacks and Stock Based Compensation (SBC) Distort True Owner's Earnings!
This video discusses how stock buybacks and stock-based compensation can distort a company's true earnings and valuation, citing examples from Nvidia, Amazon, Apple, and Nike. The creator argues that focusing on price, especially for buybacks, can be value-destructive if done at inflated valuations, and emphasizes the importance of true owner's earnings for long-term value investing.
Apr 15, 2026
Where Did Normal Investing Go? Fat Tony Style!!!
The creator contrasts traditional value investing focused on dividends and cash flow with modern market trends like "buy the dip" and speculative AI/China plays. He advocates for a "Fat Tony" style of investing, prioritizing yield and cash flow, and highlights companies like Charter, Berkshire, Fiserv, HP, and Domino's as examples of potential investments that fit this philosophy, while cautioning against chasing market hype.
Apr 15, 2026
Let's Talk Politics/TRUMP'S IMPACT ON INVESTING!!! Inflation + Interest Rates???
The creator discusses the impact of politics, particularly Trump's rhetoric, on investing strategies, focusing on fundamentals like inflation, interest rates, and oil prices. He expresses a long-term bullish stance on oil, believing higher prices and inflation are likely, and suggests value investing as a strategy to navigate these conditions. The creator also touches on global economic shifts, China's growth, and the unsustainability of current debt levels.
Apr 15, 2026
Adyen Stock Analysis / Interesting GARP Stock (AMS: ADYEN)
The creator analyzes Adyen (AMS: ADYEN), a fintech company, highlighting its strong growth potential despite recent stock price declines due to adjusted guidance. The analysis covers business fundamentals, competitive landscape, valuation, and future growth prospects, concluding that Adyen presents a potentially attractive growth-at-a-reasonable-price (GARP) investment opportunity with an estimated long-term return of 11-12%.
Apr 15, 2026
Lululemon Stock - Final Call
The creator discusses Lululemon's stock, noting its current low P/E ratio of 11 compared to Nike's 30, suggesting it might be a value investment. Despite a decline in the US market and decreased gross margins, international growth and potential buybacks are mentioned. The creator highlights inventory concerns and the need for a new CEO, but ultimately suggests that for investors willing to bet on a turnaround, now might be the time, though they personally are not investing due to a lack of interest in the fashion industry.
Apr 2, 2026
MAG 7 Stocks Are Way Cheaper and Better Buys Now!
The creator discusses the recent price drops in several "MAG 7" stocks, including Nvidia, Meta, Amazon, Google, and Apple, suggesting that lower prices now present better buying opportunities with reduced risk and potentially higher returns. He analyzes Nvidia's potential based on AI chip demand but expresses uncertainty about its long-term dominance due to intense competition. He is more constructive on Meta Platforms, seeing it as a potentially better buy now after its price decline, with solid growth prospects.
Apr 1, 2026
These 2 Stocks Will Make Me A Billionaire by 2028! NASDAQ: RXRX, LON: POLB!
The creator is shifting his investment strategy from traditional value investing to a more technology-focused approach, aiming for significant gains by 2030. He highlights two specific stocks, Recursion Pharmaceuticals (RXRX) and Polarean (POLB), as potential multi-baggers due to AI integration and clinical catalysts.
Mar 31, 2026
Microsoft Stock Getting Cheap(er)!
The creator analyzes Microsoft's stock, noting its recent 30% decline and comparing its current P/E ratio to the broader market. Using intrinsic value calculations with varying growth rates and terminal multiples, the creator suggests Microsoft may be undervalued relative to market expectations and Wall Street consensus.
Mar 29, 2026
1 Of My Stocks To Buy + Research Platform Overview (Strategy, Portfolios, Plans)
The creator provides an overview of his research platform and investment strategy, which focuses on value investing with a margin of safety. He discusses his model portfolio's performance, which has achieved over 15.4% annual returns over eight years with a lower P/E ratio than the market. He also touches on a diversified portfolio and his personal portfolio.
Mar 27, 2026
Nutrien Stock Overview!
The creator provides an overview of Nutrien, highlighting its strong business fundamentals, low-cost production advantages, and stable cash flows. While acknowledging the stock's recent recovery and current fair valuation, the creator expresses a desire to buy at a lower entry point (below $50) to achieve a 10% free cash flow yield, characteristic of cyclical investments.
Mar 26, 2026
4 Stocks You Want To Buy! BAM, VOW, LVMH, Pandora
The creator discusses several stocks, including Brookfield Asset Management, Volkswagen, LVMH, and Pandora, as potential buys. He expresses caution on the automotive industry, particularly European car manufacturers like Volkswagen, due to cyclicality, competition from China, and reliance on financing, suggesting waiting for a recession to invest. He highlights Volkswagen's current attractive metrics but warns about management incentives and the potential impact of an economic downturn on its financial services division.
Mar 25, 2026
Don't Miss Out On the AI Boom, Forget Value!
The creator argues that while technological revolutions like AI are significant, value investing remains crucial. He draws parallels to past tech booms, suggesting that the true winners often emerge after the initial infrastructure is built, and in the case of AI, the ultimate beneficiaries are still unknown.
Mar 25, 2026
Oil/Iran will not crash the market 50%, this will!
The creator argues that the current market is detached from fundamentals and driven by flows, such as buybacks and foreign investment. He identifies a potential risk if these flows reverse, which could lead to a significant market downturn, rather than focusing on geopolitical events like the situation in Iran.
Mar 24, 2026
Alibaba Stock a Buy Again?
The creator discusses Alibaba's recent performance, highlighting strong growth in cloud and AI businesses while acknowledging ongoing competition and margin pressures in e-commerce. He notes his past trading activity with the stock and considers a potential re-entry based on its current valuation and future prospects, particularly in AI infrastructure.
Mar 23, 2026
Wall Street Screams BUY NVDA!!!
The creator analyzes Nvidia's stock, highlighting Wall Street's bullish sentiment and projecting significant future revenue and profit based on the GTC conference announcements. While acknowledging the potential for a 3x return in 24 months, the creator also outlines the bear case, which centers on hyperscalers cutting spending.
Mar 22, 2026
10 Interesting Stocks To Buy From Value Quadrant
The creator presents an updated value investing quadrant with 15 interesting stocks to buy, categorized by risk and reward. He highlights UK companies like HPE, Nomad Foods, and Charter Communications for their earnings potential, Berkshire and Verizon for safety and dividends, and Amazon for growth. He also mentions riskier bets like oil and Warrior Coal, and suggests avoiding the S&P 500, Nike, and US Treasuries.
Mar 18, 2026
Ackman Betting Big On Brookfield BN, UBER, AMZN, META
Sven Carlin critiques Bill Ackman's concentrated portfolio, arguing that holdings like Brookfield and Uber rely on aggressive accounting and high valuations rather than a true margin of safety. He warns that Ackman is chasing growth and AI narratives, which contrasts with traditional value investing principles.
Mar 15, 2026
Nomad Foods Stock Update 6.56% YIELD - NYSE:NOMD
Nomad Foods (NOMD) is analyzed as a value investment with a high dividend yield and strong buybacks, despite recent declines due to private label competition. The company has a new CEO focused on improving margins and negotiating better retailer prices, though the first half of 2026 is expected to be challenging. The stock appears cheap based on free cash flow yield and potential re-rating, but carries execution and debt risks.
Mar 15, 2026
Market Crash Risk is MISUNDERSTOOD!
The creator discusses the misunderstood risks in the current market, highlighting that while the market has shown resilience, the long-term risk of zero or negative real returns is significant, as seen in historical periods. He emphasizes the importance of value investing, owning companies with strong earnings yields, and being hedged against potential downturns, contrasting this with the speculative nature of many current investment strategies.
Mar 15, 2026
YES, ADBE is a BUY! But mind the risk & reward with portfolio exposure!
The creator discusses Adobe's (ADBE) recent earnings, noting strong revenue growth but a declining stock price. Despite concerns about CEO departure and increasing AI competition, the creator believes Adobe will remain a strong business, though long-term margins are a key question. The creator suggests that while Adobe might be a buy, there could be better investment opportunities with a more favorable risk/reward profile.
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