Creator Post Archive
Value Investing with Sven Carlin, Ph.D.
Browse the full post archive, then jump into the source post to inspect linked mentions and linked signals.
Mar 15, 2026
HP Stock Is A Fundamental Buy! 6.5% YIELD
The creator analyzes HP stock (HPQ) as a potential value investment, highlighting its low P/E ratio, high dividend yield, and strong cash flows despite a declining printing business and rising memory chip costs. The creator is long HP and sees potential for capital returns and a recovery in the personal systems segment, while acknowledging risks like margin compression and analyst sentiment.
Mar 14, 2026
10 Stocks To Buy From Value Investing Risk & Reward Quadrant
Sven Carlin updates his value investing quadrant, noting that oil stocks have transitioned from value plays to speculative bets after significant rallies. He also introduces a new small position in Charter Communications, citing high free cash flow despite a heavy debt load.
Mar 11, 2026
Vital Farms Stock Update NASDAQ:VITL
The creator discusses Vital Farms (VITL), noting its significant stock price decline from its peak despite strong revenue growth potential. The key concern is the volatility of egg prices, which impacts the company's profitability and future earnings outlook.
Mar 11, 2026
5 Stocks To Buy! CHTR, BRK, JD, AMZN, Kuaishou
The creator highlights several value-oriented stock picks, weighing high-upside opportunities like Charter Communications against steady but slower-growing investments like Berkshire Hathaway.
Mar 7, 2026
BUY Charter Communications Stock On Positive Risk & Reward (Nasdaq: CHTR)
Sven Carlin analyzes Charter Communications, arguing that despite high debt and competition, the stock's massive free cash flow yield and buyback potential create a highly attractive risk-reward setup.
Mar 3, 2026
Berkshire Stock Analysis 2026 - Intrinsic Value, Sum of Parts, Margin of Safety...
Sven Carlin provides an in-depth analysis of Berkshire Hathaway's 2026 financial position, evaluating its intrinsic value, sum-of-parts, and margin of safety following the latest annual letter. He emphasizes Berkshire's 'fortress' balance sheet, featuring $370 billion in cash and stable operating earnings of approximately $40 billion, while noting a strategic shift away from Apple due to valuation concerns. The analysis suggests that while Berkshire is fairly valued at current levels, it remains a superior low-risk alternative to treasuries and the broader S&P 500, offering a projected 6-7% annual return and a significant floor for the stock price through potential buybacks.
Mar 2, 2026
China - From Uninvestable, to Great BUY !?!?!
Sven Carlin discusses the recent rally in Chinese equities, warning that despite the hype around AI and DeepSeek, the structural risks of the Chinese market remain a significant deterrent for him.
Mar 1, 2026
JD Stock A BUY! Looks a lot like Value! NASDAQ: JD
Sven Carlin identifies JD.com as a significant value opportunity, noting that its revenue has grown tenfold over twelve years while the stock price has remained stagnant.
Feb 28, 2026
'Only Idiots Sell This Market, No Crash!!!'...(Market Overview March 2026)
Open the source post to review the creator thesis, linked mentions, and linked signals.
Feb 27, 2026
Amazon A Buy as Everybody Is Buying!
Sven Carlin evaluates Amazon as a 'growth at a reasonable price' opportunity, noting that several prominent value investors have recently initiated or increased positions.
Feb 25, 2026
5X Stocks: CSU, PYPL, ADBE, NOVO, DECK, BTC... Right or Wrong!
The creator, a value investor focused on margin of safety and long-term compounding, discusses his investment philosophy and addresses comments about his stock picks. He emphasizes that investing is not about being right on every call and that many investments fall into the 'too hard' pile. He shares his opinion on specific stocks like PayPal and Tesla, clarifying his stance and the reasons behind it.
Feb 24, 2026
Kuaishou Stock is a Buy (Michael Burry BUY!)
Sven Carlin identifies Kuaishou as a high-conviction value play, citing its dominant short-video market share and rapid AI expansion. He argues the stock is significantly undervalued given its 26% profit growth and massive cash reserves.
Feb 23, 2026
Ferrari Stock Analysis - RACE
The creator analyzes Ferrari (RACE), concluding that while the business is high-quality and performing well, the stock lacks the margin of safety required for a value investment.
Feb 16, 2026
Archer-Daniels-Midland Dividend Stock Analysis (NYSE: ADM)
Sven Carlin provides an update on Archer-Daniels-Midland (ADM), noting that while the stock has surged 50%, he is maintaining his current position as a hold due to a less attractive valuation compared to previous lows.
Feb 15, 2026
99% Of People Are Short-Term Price Gamblers, 1% Is Value Investing!
Sven Carlin warns that the current market is dominated by short-term speculation, arguing that high tech valuations and rising capital expenditures create significant risks for value investors.
Feb 13, 2026
50% Crash CSU, ADBE, HRB, SAP! BUY NOW?
The creator discusses a recent crash in software stocks, including Constellation Software, Adobe, HRB, and SAP. While acknowledging the broader market disruption from AI, he suggests that some of these companies may now be attractive buys at lower valuations, particularly SAP and Adobe.
Feb 11, 2026
Stellantis Stock Points to the Future of Most Stocks...(Growth, Capex, Promises vs. Competition)
The creator uses Stellantis as a cautionary tale for high-capex industries, warning that competition and oversupply are destroying margins in the EV sector.
Feb 9, 2026
Duolingo Stock Analysis
The creator analyzes Duolingo's strong growth and low valuation but expresses significant caution regarding its long-term moat and competition from AI.
Feb 5, 2026
PayPal Stock A Buy On $6 Billion Of Buybacks in 2026! Stock Up 40%!
The creator analyzes PayPal as a potential value play, weighing its massive $6 billion buyback program and low valuation against structural market share losses and competitive threats.
Feb 3, 2026
Berkshire Stock Analysis - Earnings, Valuation, Decision
The creator evaluates Berkshire Hathaway's earnings and valuation, concluding the stock is overvalued with a low expected return.
Jan 29, 2026
Investing Today Based On 125 Years Of Stock Market History
Open the source post to review the creator thesis, linked mentions, and linked signals.
Jan 26, 2026
Recession Impact on Amazon Stock (AMZN)
The creator evaluates Amazon's performance during a potential recession, suggesting that while the stock could face significant short-term volatility, the underlying business remains fundamentally strong for the long term.
Jan 19, 2026
Recession Impact On Stocks From Value Quadrant
Sven Carlin evaluates the recession resilience of several value stocks, identifying Amazon and Berkshire Hathaway as the strongest candidates for portfolio protection while warning of cyclical risks for hardware and payment processors.
Jan 18, 2026
8 Stocks You Want To Buy: TAP, HELE, NWL, MDLZ, GIS, LW, PEP, QFIN
The creator evaluates several consumer goods and chemical stocks, expressing caution on Molson Coors due to competition and labeling Helen of Troy and Newell Brands as fundamental disasters.
Jan 16, 2026
5 Stocks To Buy From Value Investing Quadrant - Jan 2026
The creator discusses several stocks using a value investing quadrant framework, highlighting FER as a potential buy due to its low P/E ratio and strong cash flows despite recent struggles. VNR and PBR are also mentioned as oil stocks with high dividend yields and break-even points, respectively, with the creator suggesting buying oil stocks during market downturns.
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