Creator Post Archive
Value Investing with Sven Carlin, Ph.D.
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Jun 9, 2025
Pabrai Latest Stocks To Buy & Investing Strategy
The creator discusses the investment strategy and recent performance of Pabry, noting his past success driven by commodity booms and emerging markets, but also his struggles over the last decade. The creator emphasizes the importance of aligning an investment strategy with personal goals and evaluating fund managers based on their track record.
Jun 2, 2025
Campari Stock Quick Take BIT: CPR
Sven Carlin analyzes Campari following its recent price drop, concluding that the company's reliance on expensive acquisitions and share dilution makes it a value trap. He also briefly compares it to Nike, noting that both remain overvalued relative to his target P/E of 12.
May 31, 2025
Nutrien NTR Stock Analysis (On Value Quadrant + Intrinsic Value)
Sven Carlin analyzes Nutrien as a cyclical value play, highlighting its low-cost production advantage while cautioning about potential oversupply risks from upcoming industry projects.
May 30, 2025
Lithium Stocks Look Ugly = Time to BUY? Albemarle stock analysis.
The creator analyzes the lithium sector's downturn, focusing on Albemarle as a cyclical value play that typically offers high returns when purchased during periods of market capitulation.
May 25, 2025
Google Stock Easily To $500 On AI!
Sven Carlin outlines a bullish scenario where Google reaches $500 per share through AI-driven growth and a market valuation re-rating.
May 22, 2025
XOM, CVX, RDS Investors To Get Hit By Oil Cycle Reality Soon!
The creator suggests that oil stocks like Exxon, Chevron, and Shell may face challenges soon due to a potential downturn in the oil cycle. Despite current positive appearances, underlying fundamentals are weakening as oil prices approach break-even points for these companies, which could lead to reduced cash flows and impact dividends and buybacks.
May 20, 2025
Equinor Stock is Cheap Now! The Safe Oil Dividend!
Sven Carlin analyzes Equinor as a resilient value play capable of sustaining high dividends even in a low oil price environment, while warning that US majors like Exxon are vulnerable to a cyclical downturn.
May 18, 2025
10 Stocks To Buy From Value Quadrant
Sven Carlin updates his value investing quadrant, identifying high-yield and growth opportunities in Petrobras, Green Brick Partners, ASML, and Dow Inc. while noting cyclical risks.
May 17, 2025
Google Stock The Value King of Wall Street
Sven Carlin evaluates Google as a potential value play, balancing its strong financial growth and low valuation against the long-term risks of AI search disruption.
May 16, 2025
KASPI NASDAQ: KSPI Stock Analysis
The creator evaluates Kaspi's dominant market position and low valuation in Kazakhstan against the new risks introduced by its acquisition of the struggling Turkish marketplace HepsiBurada.
May 15, 2025
My Take on UNH Stock Crash = Too Hard Pile
The creator analyzes UnitedHealth Group following its recent price drop but decides to avoid the stock due to its complexity and regulatory risks.
May 14, 2025
AKER BP Oil Stock - 10% Yield on $6 Per Barrel Cost... Dividend Growth Stock 5%
The creator highlights Aker BP (AKRBP) as a compelling value investment due to its low production costs, high dividend yield, and stable production. Despite fluctuations in oil prices, the company's financial health and growth prospects remain strong.
May 13, 2025
Green Brick Partners Stock Looks Good!!! NYSE: GRBK
Sven Carlin highlights Green Brick Partners as a high-growth value investment characterized by low debt, strong margins, and a massive inventory of land in growing markets.
Apr 16, 2025
ASML Intrinsic Value & Earnings Update
The creator analyzes ASML's intrinsic value following its earnings report, concluding that the recent price drop offers a long-term buying opportunity despite short-term volatility.
Apr 13, 2025
Am I The Only One Seeing The Stock Market Cycle?
The creator warns of a potential long-term cycle of low returns for the broader stock market due to high valuations, recommending a shift toward individual value stocks like Archer Daniels Midland.
Apr 11, 2025
Accept Volatility, Not Risk, When Investing In Stocks!
The creator argues that volatility is not risk for long-term investors and can present buying opportunities, using Berkshire Hathaway as an example. They highlight Archer Daniel Midland (ADM) as a low-risk investment due to its current price and dividend history.
Apr 8, 2025
Let's Talk Stocks! Apple, Nike, ADM, SBUX, OXY, ASML, AMZN, PBR, BHP, DOW, SCHD, VZ,
The creator evaluates several value and cyclical stocks following a market downturn, identifying ADM and BHP as long-term opportunities while cautioning on the oil sensitivity of PBR and OXY.
Apr 5, 2025
10% Sale on Best 10 Stocks To Buy From Value Investing Quadrant 2025! Filmed before crash :-)
The creator discusses several stocks, noting Amazon is a great business but pricey, and expresses caution on Warrior Met Coal due to falling prices and potential cost issues.
Apr 4, 2025
Stocks Crash On Tariffs - My Opinion & Forecast
The creator analyzes the negative economic impact of new US tariffs, arguing they disrupt global trade and threaten corporate margins. He highlights the specific vulnerabilities of large-cap stocks with heavy China exposure and complex global supply chains.
Apr 3, 2025
Bhp Stock Analysis - Iron Ore + Copper + Potash Long-Term
Sven Carlin analyzes BHP, highlighting its strong cash flows and low-cost commodity assets despite a cyclical downturn in iron ore. He views the current price weakness as a potential long-term opportunity driven by copper and future potash production.
Apr 2, 2025
Tariffs Might Create Great Investing Opportunities (News vs. Long-Term Trends)
The creator argues that market overreactions to tariff news create long-term investing opportunities in commodity producers, specifically highlighting Glencore's recent price drop.
Apr 2, 2025
TROW Stock Cheap, But T Rowe Price Has Deteriorating Business Model
The creator argues that T. Rowe Price faces a deteriorating business model characterized by persistent net outflows and uncompetitive fees compared to index funds.
Mar 31, 2025
To Me, Tesla Stock is a ZERO (TSLA=ZERO)
The creator argues that Tesla's intrinsic value is zero, citing a net negative financial position when accounting for capital expenditures and government subsidies.
Mar 31, 2025
My Issue With The Magnificent 7
The creator expresses concern about the Magnificent 7 stocks, noting that their historical success was based on distinct business models. He worries that the current intense focus on AI competition among these companies could lead to their downfall, as they may no longer benefit from unique market positions or declining infrastructure costs.
Mar 29, 2025
Buffett Keeps Buying Occidental Stock + Oil Price Outlook!
The creator analyzes Occidental Petroleum following Warren Buffett's continued accumulation, weighing the company's Permian Basin focus and debt reduction strategy against the volatility of global oil prices.
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