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Jobs Report: Much Worse Than Expected

Jul 2, 2026

The creator discusses the June jobs report, which significantly underperformed expectations, with only 57,000 jobs added compared to the forecast of 115,000. This weak labor market data suggests the Federal Reserve is less likely to raise interest rates at their upcoming July meeting, as indicated by a sharp drop in the probability of a rate hike according to the CME FedWatch tool. The report is seen as reducing inflationary pressure, further supporting a pause in rate increases.

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The creator discusses the June jobs report, which significantly underperformed expectations, with only 57,000 jobs added compared to the forecast of 115,000. This weak labor market data suggests the Federal Reserve is less likely to raise interest rates at their upcoming July meeting, as indicated by a sharp drop in the probability of a rate hike according to the CME FedWatch tool. The report is seen as reducing inflationary pressure, further supporting a pause in rate increases.

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