Creator Profile
ClearValue Tax
YouTube | Stock
2,890,000 followers
Visit creator profileReturn Since May 1, 2026
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Latest published research
July 13, 2026
The Stock Market's Midterm Election Pattern: 98 Years of Data
This video analyzes historical stock market performance over 98 years in relation to the US presidential election cycle, focusing on the S&P 500. It highlights that the pre-election year (e.g., 2027) has historically been the strongest, with an average return of 17.8% and a 91.7% probability of positive returns. The year following the midterms (also the pre-election year) and the presidential election year (e.g., 2028) are also identified as strong performers.
July 2, 2026
Jobs Report: Much Worse Than Expected
The creator discusses the June jobs report, which significantly underperformed expectations, with only 57,000 jobs added compared to the forecast of 115,000. This weak labor market data suggests the Federal Reserve is less likely to raise interest rates at their upcoming July meeting, as indicated by a sharp drop in the probability of a rate hike according to the CME FedWatch tool. The report is seen as reducing inflationary pressure, further supporting a pause in rate increases.
June 29, 2026
The Fed's Money Printing Machine Never Stopped
The creator analyzes the Federal Reserve's balance sheet, noting that it has increased by $189 billion since the start of the year, indicating continued money printing. Despite the new Fed chair, Kevin Warsh, promising to shrink the balance sheet and fight inflation, the holdings have increased by nearly $20 billion in the past month, leading the creator to believe Warsh has broken promises.
Recent Stock Calls
Only high-conviction signal-backed calls appear here, so newer research posts can stay commentary-only.
High-Conviction Portfolio Performance Since May 1, 2026
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