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When to Buy MSFT Stock?

Jun 25, 2026

The creator discusses Microsoft's stock performance, noting a significant drop from all-time highs despite strong underlying business fundamentals. They address three main bear arguments against the stock: AI disruption, unrewarding CapEx due to rising chip costs, and reliance on OpenAI. The creator refutes these arguments, highlighting Microsoft's defensible position in AI, strong AI revenue growth, and embedded enterprise software.

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METANeutralLow ConvictionResearch Only

The creator recently bought a lot of Meta shares, which is why they currently have limited cash to invest in Microsoft.

AMZNNeutralLow ConvictionResearch Only

The creator recently bought a lot of Amazon shares, which is why they currently have limited cash to invest in Microsoft.

MUNeutralLow ConvictionResearch Only

Micron's rising chip prices are mentioned as a factor contributing to concerns about hyperscalers' capital expenditures not paying off.

MSFTNeutralMedium ConvictionSignal-backedPrimary

Microsoft stock has fallen 34% from its highs, but the creator believes the company is well-positioned to benefit from AI and its software business remains strong.

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