Source Post

The BIGGEST BANK just said THIS about Stocks for 2026...

Jul 11, 2026

The creator discusses JP Morgan's Guide to the Markets, focusing on the S&P 500's valuation. The S&P 500 is trading at over 20 times forward earnings, which is considered expensive, about a standard deviation above the 30-year average and comparable to the dot-com bubble and 2021. While higher quality companies and profit margins might justify a higher multiple, expensive markets typically lead to lower expected future returns, with mid-single-digit annualized returns expected over the next 5 years.

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Tickers discussed in this post

MUNeutralLow ConvictionSignal-backedSecondary

The creator is not buying Micron at current prices, citing concerns about the cyclical nature of the semiconductor industry and potential CapEx downturns.

NVDANeutralLow ConvictionSignal-backedSecondary

The creator is sitting on the sidelines for Nvidia at current prices, acknowledging it's an incredible business but not one they want to own right now.

CHTRNeutralLow ConvictionResearch Only

Charter is mentioned as a company whose earnings report will be reviewed.

PYPLNeutralLow ConvictionResearch Only

PayPal is mentioned as a company whose earnings report will be reviewed.

MOHNeutralLow ConvictionResearch Only

Molina is mentioned as a major health insurance company that will report earnings soon.

ELVNeutralLow ConvictionResearch Only

Elevance is mentioned as a major health insurance company that will report earnings soon.

UNHNeutralLow ConvictionResearch Only

UNH is mentioned as a major health insurance company that will report earnings soon.

SPXXNeutralMedium ConvictionSignal-backedPrimary

The S&P 500 is trading at over 20 times forward earnings, which is considered expensive and suggests lower expected future returns.

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