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Buying Canadian Bank Stocks Now | The Mortgage Crisis That Never Happened

The creator discusses the strong performance of Canadian bank stocks, particularly through the VDY ETF, noting significant capital growth and outperformance compared to the S&P 500. Despite recent vertical gains and historically high valuations (like Royal Bank trading near a 20 PE), the creator suggests that the market's fears about a mortgage crisis and housing market collapse in Canada did not materialize, leading to a super cycle in bank earnings. The creator also touches on the current high interest rate environment, which is unusual for the sector.

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Tickers discussed in this post

HSBCNeutralLow ConvictionResearch Only

HSBC is mentioned as an international bank that, along with other global banks, is experiencing a run not seen since the 1990s.

JPMNeutralLow ConvictionResearch Only

JP Morgan's chart performance is noted as not dissimilar to the recent surge seen in Canadian banks.

RYNeutralMedium ConvictionSignal-backedPrimary

Royal Bank, the largest position in VDY, has seen a recent vertical surge of 63% after a period of stagnation since 2008, but is now trading at a stretched valuation near a 20 PE with historically low yields.

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