Source Post

A Level-Headed Perspective on the IBM Sell-off

The creator discusses International Business Machines (IBM) following a recent sell-off, aiming to provide a level-headed perspective and estimate its fair value. The video breaks down IBM's business segments, including software (Red Hat, Watson X), consulting, and hardware, and touches on recent market reactions ahead of earnings, noting concerns about supply shortages influencing server purchases.

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INTCNeutralLow ConvictionSignal-backedSecondary

Intel is mentioned as a company the creator missed out on, receiving significant government support and investment for its role in the US industrial game and chip production.

AAPLNeutralLow ConvictionResearch Only

Apple recently increased prices on its product lineup, which may be related to the ongoing shortages of components like RAM and SSDs.

MUNeutralLow ConvictionResearch Only

Micron's management is pointing to memory and storage shortages lasting at least through 2028, impacting companies like IBM.

ORCLNeutralLow ConvictionSignal-backedSecondary

Oracle is considered similar to IBM but slightly less attractive, though the creator is more bullish on Oracle due to potential AI and TikTok benefits.

CSCONeutralLow ConvictionResearch Only

Cisco is briefly mentioned as having a dividend profile similar to IBM's.

SAPNeutralLow ConvictionResearch Only

SAP is mentioned as a peer to IBM with a higher debt-to-EBITDA ratio of 6, contrasting with IBM's 3.8.

PGNeutralLow ConvictionResearch Only

Proctor and Gamble is mentioned as an example of a company that successfully utilizes acquisitions for growth.

WMTNeutralLow ConvictionResearch Only

Walmart is mentioned as a potential source for an external executive hire for Target.

TGTNeutralLow ConvictionSignal-backedSecondary

The creator was not a fan of Target's recent leadership transition to an internal CEO, believing an external hire from a competitor like Walmart or Amazon would have been a better approach, despite the stock turning around.

MMMNeutralLow ConvictionResearch Only

3M is mentioned as a company with a broad patent library and a recent positive earnings report.

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