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The creator discusses market timing, specifically focusing on mid-term election years. They argue that the...

Jul 20, 2026

The creator discusses market timing, specifically focusing on mid-term election years. They argue that the market often bottoms earlier than expected, typically in September or sooner, rather than in October as many anticipate. This is because retail investors tend to front-run the expected October bottom, causing it to occur earlier when sentiment is fearful.

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The S&P 500 historically shows a pattern of bottoming earlier than expected in mid-term election years, often in September, due to retail front-running the anticipated October low.

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