Source Post

US Stock Market - S&P 500 RSP & Nasdaq NDX | Price Projections & Timing | Cycle & Chart Analysis

Jul 25, 2026

The creator discusses a bearish scenario for the stock market, citing historically low institutional cash levels as a warning sign. They highlight that when cash levels are low, institutions have less capacity to support higher prices, potentially leading to significant declines. The analysis focuses on the S&P 500 equal weight (RSP) and the Nasdaq (NDX), with projections for a bear market extending into 2027.

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Tickers discussed in this post

SPXXNeutralMedium ConvictionSignal-backedSecondary

The creator notes that SPX is influenced by Mag 7 AI stocks, and a 38.2% correction is considered reasonable.

QQQXBearishMedium ConvictionSignal-backedSecondary

The Nasdaq 100 (NDX) is also part of the analysis for a potential bearish scenario, with projections for significant declines.

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