Semiconductor stocks are experiencing a violent correction due to retail investor involvement, but momentum indicators suggest the rally could continue as long as they remain upward-sloping.
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Stocks Are About To Go Nuts (Emergency Update)
The creator discusses the semiconductor sector's recent parabolic rise and subsequent 25% collapse, highlighting that retail investors piled in at the peak. The analysis frames this within the typical phases of a bull market (undervalued, awareness, mania) and suggests semiconductors are in the euphoria stage. The key differentiator for the next cycle phase is investor ownership, with institutions focused on fundamentals and valuations, while retail investors are more susceptible to hype and panic selling. The KOSPI index is used as an example of retail-driven rallies followed by sharp declines.
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The S&P 500 has rallied by 35% over the past 2 years, which is nearly double the average stock market performance, but looks mediocre compared to semiconductor sector gains.
SanDisk has crashed by 60% as part of a major wipeout in the semiconductor sector.
Qualcomm has lost 30% of its value as part of a broader wipeout in the semiconductor sector.
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