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Why Is Nvidia Stock So Cheap?

The creator argues that Nvidia (NVDA) stock appears cheap based on forward P/E ratios and discounted cash flow analysis, especially when compared to slower-growing companies like Walmart and Costco. The low valuation is attributed to investor skepticism about the sustainability of Nvidia's recent surge in earnings per share, driven by AI demand, with concerns about customer concentration and future demand from hyperscalers.

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Tickers discussed in this post

NODKNeutralLow ConvictionResearch Only

Google Gemini is identified as a major consumer of AI computing, impacting Nvidia's market.

METANeutralLow ConvictionResearch Only

Meta Platforms is identified as a major hyperscaler customer whose future investment in data centers is a key factor for Nvidia's business.

GOOGNeutralLow ConvictionResearch Only

Alphabet is named as a hyperscaler customer whose future data center spending is relevant to Nvidia's revenue sustainability.

MSFTNeutralLow ConvictionResearch Only

Microsoft is identified as a major hyperscaler customer whose future capital expenditure plans are a key factor for Nvidia's business outlook.

AMZNNeutralLow ConvictionResearch Only

Amazon is mentioned as a hyperscaler customer whose future capital expenditures could impact Nvidia's business.

PGNeutralLow ConvictionResearch Only

Procter & Gamble is cited as a company with a higher forward P/E (19.5) than Nvidia, further supporting Nvidia's cheapness.

COSTNeutralLow ConvictionResearch Only

Costco is presented as a slow-growing business with a forward P/E of 42, making it appear more expensive than Nvidia.

WMTNeutralLow ConvictionResearch Only

Walmart is mentioned as a slow-growing business trading at a higher forward P/E (35) than Nvidia, highlighting Nvidia's relative cheapness.

NVDABullishHigh ConvictionSignal-backedPrimary

Nvidia stock is considered cheap based on forward P/E and DCF valuation, trading at a forward P/E of 17.6 and a DCF fair value of $375 compared to its current market price of $225.

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Tracked calls opened from this post

NVDA
buy opened Aug 18, 2026
-2.55%