Chris Camillo invested in Elmer's Glue parent company, New Brands, after spotting a spike in mentions related to the DIY slime trend, which led to a 17% earnings jump.
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How Chris Camillo Finds Stock Trends Before Wall Street | Social Arbitrage
Aug 28, 2026
This video introduces Chris Camillo, a trader who achieved exceptional returns (63% CAGR over 17 years) using a strategy called "social arbitrage" or "observational trading." This method relies on detecting changes in human conversation and real-world observations before they are reflected in financial media or earnings reports. The video details Camillo's early experiences with knowledge arbitrage and his initial struggles with options trading before finding success with his unique approach.
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Chris Camillo identified Netflix as a profitable trade by observing that conversational volume for Stranger Things remained at a triple peak level, contrary to analyst predictions of a bad quarter.
Chris Camillo ignored Wall Street's obsession with AT&T's poor cellular network when the original iPhone launched, focusing instead on the excited reaction of people at a party.
Chris Camillo's first stock market observation involved Snapple, where he noticed reduced shelf space at a 7-Eleven, leading him to buy put options which tripled in value after the company missed earnings.