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My 24-Month Stock Market Prediction (How I'm Investing Now)

The creator discusses the current market environment, noting the S&P 500's high levels alongside rising long-term bond yields, which suggests conflicting economic outlooks. They analyze three key variables for the next 24 months: AI capital expenditure, the Federal Reserve's monetary policy, and consumer spending, outlining potential stagflationary scenarios and how they are personally investing based on these predictions.

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Tickers discussed in this post

VGTBullishMedium ConvictionSignal-backedSecondary

The creator allocates $100 monthly to specialized sector ETFs like VGT or WQTM, focusing on technology.

GOOGNeutralLow ConvictionSignal-backedSecondary

Alphabet reported its first negative free cash flow quarter since 2004 and has issued significant debt and equity, indicating a shift in funding strategy.

SPXXNeutralMedium ConvictionSignal-backedSecondary

The S&P 500 is near all-time highs, but conflicting signals from bond markets suggest caution.

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