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Who Will Really Win the AI Revolution? | Jonathan Tepper

The creator discusses the historical patterns of technological revolutions and bubbles, noting that early investors often face intense competition and that the ultimate winners may not be the companies that start the revolution. He expresses uncertainty about the winners in the AI space and suggests that high valuations are difficult to justify given this uncertainty. He is more interested in companies perceived as potential losers or those disrupted by AI, as these might represent good investments. He identifies software (SaaS), data and analytics firms (like FactSet, Morningstar, Refinitiv, S&P, Moody's), and online platforms as areas potentially affected by AI.

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PAYCNeutralLow ConvictionResearch Only

Paycom is mentioned as a payroll processor that might be affected by AI, with a neutral stance.

PAYXNeutralLow ConvictionResearch Only

Paychex is mentioned as a payroll processor that might be affected by AI, with a neutral stance.

MCONeutralMedium ConvictionSignal-backedSecondary

Moody's has been impacted by AI's potential to disrupt data and analytics services, though the extent of the impact is noted as less severe compared to some others.

SPGINeutralMedium ConvictionSignal-backedSecondary

S&P Global is identified as a company that has been impacted, though not as severely as others, due to AI's potential to disrupt data and analytics services.

NODKNeutralMedium ConvictionSignal-backedSecondary

Refinitiv, part of the London Stock Exchange Group, is mentioned as a data and analytics firm that could be impacted by AI's ability to perform analysis.

MORNNeutralMedium ConvictionSignal-backedSecondary

Morningstar is listed as a data and analytics firm that might be negatively affected by AI's analytical capabilities, raising questions about its future demand.

CTSNeutralMedium ConvictionSignal-backedSecondary

FactSet is identified as a data and analytics firm that could be negatively impacted by AI's ability to perform analysis, questioning its future need.

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