Source Post

Moderna Needs More Than a $10 Billion Cancer Drug

Oct 28, 2026

Martin Shkreli analyzes the valuation and pipeline prospects of Moderna and Zura Bio. He expresses skepticism about Moderna's current valuation relative to its revenue potential, while showing interest in Zura Bio's clinical pipeline despite potential dilution risks.

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Tickers discussed in this post

DNABearishMedium ConvictionResearch Only

Ginkgo Bioworks is identified as a potential short candidate.

MRKBullishMedium ConvictionSignal-backedSecondary

Merck is viewed as a superior long-term investment compared to Moderna due to the established dominance of Keytruda.

ZURABullishMedium ConvictionSignal-backedPrimary

Zura Bio is an attractive, high-potential biotech play, though future dilution from Phase 3 trial costs is largely priced in.

MRNABearishMedium ConvictionSignal-backedPrimary

Moderna is overvalued at current levels, as the market is pricing in revenue expectations that exceed the potential of its cancer vaccine pipeline.

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