Source Post

This Always Happens Before Stocks Fall

The creator discusses a market warning signal: the 30-year US Treasury bond rate crossing 5%. This has historically preceded stock market drops, with past instances leading to 2-10% declines. While stocks are seen as a long-term buy, the current environment suggests a potential short-term correction. The creator mentions an investment in the iShares 20+ year Treasury bond ETF (TLT) as a way to potentially profit from or hedge against this scenario.

Linked Mentions

Tickers discussed in this post

ANETNeutralMedium ConvictionSignal-backedPrimary

Arista Networks reported strong revenue growth but faced profit margin pressure and high valuation, leading to a stock drop.

CLBTBullishMedium ConvictionSignal-backedSecondary

Celebrite is a secure software company for law enforcement, safe from AI disruption and offering good value.

OKTANeutralLow ConvictionSignal-backedSecondary

Okta has high return potential in cybersecurity but carries higher risk.

ZSNeutralLow ConvictionSignal-backedSecondary

Zscaler has high return potential in cybersecurity but carries higher risk.

PANWNeutralMedium ConvictionSignal-backedSecondary

Palo Alto Networks is a safe cybersecurity stock collaborating with Anthropic on AI security.

CRWDNeutralMedium ConvictionSignal-backedSecondary

Crowdstrike is a safe cybersecurity play, working with Anthropic on AI security models.

FTNTBullishHigh ConvictionSignal-backedPrimary

Fortinet beat earnings and raised guidance, validating the thesis that AI increases cybersecurity demand.

TSLANeutralLow ConvictionResearch Only

Tesla is used as a real-world example in an options trading course.

NVDANeutralLow ConvictionResearch Only

Nvidia is mentioned as one of the stocks used for generating regular income through options.

AMZNNeutralLow ConvictionResearch Only

Amazon is mentioned as one of the stocks used for generating regular income through options.

SMCIBullishHigh ConvictionSignal-backedSecondary

A call option strategy on SMCI yielded a 315% return in two weeks.

SOUNNeutralLow ConvictionResearch Only

Soundhound AI (ticker SOUN) was mentioned as a stock to watch.

ARCCNeutralLow ConvictionResearch Only

Arista Networks (ticker A&E) was mentioned as a stock to watch.

Linked Signals

Tracked calls opened from this post

SMCI
buy opened May 10, 2026
+41.84%
FTNT
buy opened May 10, 2026
+30.50%