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This is What Stocks Do When War Breaks Out

The creator discusses historical market reactions to geopolitical events, emphasizing that recessions, not conflicts themselves, are the primary drivers of market downturns. They highlight that despite current global tensions and an oil shock, historical data suggests markets tend to recover, especially if a recession is avoided. The creator identifies OVVT (Ovintiv) as a potential investment opportunity within the energy sector due to its current undervaluation and leverage to sustained high oil prices, contrasting it with more speculative or already extended energy plays.

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Tickers discussed in this post

OVVBullishHigh ConvictionSignal-backedPrimary

Ovintiv (OVV) is presented as a compelling oil producer opportunity due to its geographic diversification, low break-even costs, and technical setup, offering leverage to sustained high oil prices without being overextended.

LMTNeutralLow ConvictionResearch Only

Lockheed Martin is noted as a defense name that has already made its initial move in response to the conflict.

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Tracked calls opened from this post

OVV
buy opened Mar 15, 2026
+5.80%