Source Post

US Stock Market - S&P 500 SPY | Price Projections & Cycle Timing

Steve MillerApr 15, 2026

The creator discusses the US stock market, focusing on the S&P 500 (SPY) and its potential for a V-bottom recovery. He analyzes cyclical patterns, inflation data (CPI, PCE), and geopolitical influences like the Iran conflict on oil prices. The analysis suggests a short-term positive outlook for the market, with opportunities to lower risk before a potential larger decline in August-September. He also highlights specific stocks and sectors showing bullish or bearish trends, including semiconductors, energy, and retail, while noting significant weakness in software stocks due to AI.

Linked Mentions

Tickers discussed in this post

ADBEBearishMedium ConvictionResearch Only

Adobe is listed as very bearish, indicating significant negative sentiment.

APPBearishMedium ConvictionResearch Only

APP (AppLovin) is listed as very bearish, indicating significant negative sentiment.

UBERBearishMedium ConvictionResearch Only

Uber is listed as very bearish, indicating significant negative sentiment.

ZSBearishMedium ConvictionResearch Only

Zscaler (ZS) is listed as bearish, indicating negative sentiment, likely due to AI impacts on software stocks.

SNOWBearishMedium ConvictionResearch Only

Snowflake is listed as bearish, indicating negative sentiment, likely due to AI impacts on software stocks.

BIDUBearishMedium ConvictionResearch Only

Baidu is listed as bearish, indicating negative sentiment.

BSXBearishMedium ConvictionResearch Only

Boston Scientific (BSX) is listed as bearish, indicating negative sentiment.

ACNBearishMedium ConvictionResearch Only

Accenture is listed as bearish, indicating negative sentiment.

ABTBearishMedium ConvictionResearch Only

Abbott Laboratories is listed as bearish, indicating negative sentiment.

ISRGBearishMedium ConvictionResearch Only

Intuitive Surgical is listed as bearish, indicating negative sentiment.

CBullishMedium ConvictionResearch Only

Citigroup is identified as very bullish on the short term, suggesting positive momentum for the stock.

GLWBullishMedium ConvictionResearch Only

Corning Glass is listed as very bullish on the short term, indicating positive momentum.

CAVABullishMedium ConvictionResearch Only

Cava Group is listed as very bullish, indicating strong performance.

APDBullishMedium ConvictionResearch Only

Air Products is listed as very bullish, indicating strong performance.

KLACBullishMedium ConvictionResearch Only

KLA-Tencor is identified as very bullish on the short term, suggesting positive momentum for the stock.

WDCBullishMedium ConvictionResearch Only

Western Digital is listed as very bullish on the short term, indicating positive momentum.

CARBullishHigh ConvictionResearch Only

Avis (CAR) is experiencing one of the most massive short squeezes the creator has ever seen, leading the transportation index higher.

DALBullishMedium ConvictionResearch Only

Delta Air Lines is noted as very strong, despite rising jet fuel prices.

STTBullishMedium ConvictionResearch Only

State Street is listed as very bullish, indicating positive performance.

ROSTBullishMedium ConvictionResearch Only

Ross Stores is noted as interesting and performing well, contributing to the strong retail sector performance.

TGTBullishMedium ConvictionResearch Only

Target is listed as very bullish, indicating strong performance in the retail sector.

PRAABullishMedium ConvictionResearch Only

Sempra Energy is listed as very bullish, indicating strong performance.

NFLXBullishMedium ConvictionResearch Only

Netflix is identified as very bullish on the short term, suggesting positive momentum for the stock.

INTCBullishMedium ConvictionResearch Only

Intel is listed as very bullish on the short term, indicating positive momentum.

AMDBullishMedium ConvictionResearch Only

AMD is identified as very bullish on the short term, suggesting positive momentum for the stock.

TJXBullishMedium ConvictionResearch Only

TJX (TJ Max) is listed as very bullish, indicating strong performance in the retail sector.

BTMDNeutralMedium ConvictionResearch Only

The Biotech Index (XBI) is noted as being strong, despite the general market commentary.

ICLRBullishMedium ConvictionSignal-backedSecondary

The semiconductor sector (SMH) has reached an all-time high, indicating strong investor sentiment and an ongoing advance.

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