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BIG PRE EARNINGS REVIEW !!! MICROSOFT, AMAZON, META, GOOGLE, AND APPLE !! IS THE BAR TOO HIGH ??

The creators discuss upcoming earnings reports for major tech companies including Microsoft, Amazon, Apple, Meta, and Alphabet. They analyze the technicals, potential risks, and growth drivers for each company, with a particular focus on AI's impact and capital expenditure. Apple is seen as the most trustworthy before earnings due to lower capex, while Microsoft faces headwinds from OpenAI's situation. Amazon's dominance across various sectors is highlighted, but capex is a concern. Meta shows strong ad revenue growth despite high capex, and Google is well-positioned with its AI stack and YouTube, though valuation is a key consideration.

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Tickers discussed in this post

METABullishMedium ConvictionSignal-backedPrimary

Meta is killing it commercially with strong ad revenue growth and impressive net income, but high capex and the potential for excessive spending on AI investments remain a concern, despite a cheap valuation.

AMZNBullishMedium ConvictionSignal-backedPrimary

Amazon's dominance in multiple lucrative businesses, including AWS, retail, and logistics, makes it a strong long-term play, but high capex and potential impact of oil prices on logistics are concerns.

GOOGBullishMedium ConvictionSignal-backedSecondary

Alphabet is well-positioned with its full AI stack, data advantage, and in-house TPUs, making it a strong contender for AI profitability, though valuation and potential double-top technicals warrant caution.

AAPLBullishHigh ConvictionSignal-backedPrimary

Apple is the most trusted company before earnings due to its lack of aggressive capex, strong ecosystem, and potential for new all-time highs, despite concerns about China sales and competition.

NVDANeutralLow ConvictionResearch Only

Nvidia's diversified business might make it less of a concern compared to other companies reliant on OpenAI.

ORCLBearishMedium ConvictionResearch Only

Oracle could be hit hard if something goes wrong with OpenAI, as the market became suspicious after Oracle announced a large backlog with OpenAI.

MSFTNeutralMedium ConvictionSignal-backedSecondary

Microsoft is expected to report strong earnings driven by Azure, but faces concerns about OpenAI's impact and high capex, with the stock trading below its 100-day moving average.

QCOMNeutralLow ConvictionResearch Only

The creator mentions being in a trade on Qualcomm, which is reporting earnings tomorrow.

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AAPL
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