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Can Microsoft Stock DOUBLE (2x) from Here? Valuation Analysis

Value InvestorJun 1, 2026

The Value Investor Show discusses Microsoft's stock performance, driven by Nvidia's AI announcements and a potential shift in the SaaS market. The creator analyzes the bear case for Microsoft, including risks from AI impacting productivity software, co-pilot monetization, heavy capex, and the OpenAI partnership, while also touching on Salesforce's performance.

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Tickers discussed in this post

METANeutralLow ConvictionResearch Only

Meta is mentioned as one of the Magnificent Seven stocks that Microsoft has recently lagged behind.

GOOGNeutralLow ConvictionResearch Only

Google is mentioned as the best performer among the Magnificent Seven stocks year-to-date, up 20.7%.

NOWNeutralLow ConvictionResearch Only

ServiceNow was mentioned as a SaaS company that experienced significant gains, with Jensen Huang highlighting its benefit from AI infrastructure.

ADBENeutralLow ConvictionResearch Only

Adobe was mentioned as a SaaS company that experienced significant gains, indicating a positive shift in the sector.

CRMBullishMedium ConvictionSignal-backedSecondary

The creator expresses a positive outlook on Salesforce (CRM), having bought the stock in April and seeing a 20% gain, believing the SaaS sell-off was overblown.

NVDANeutralLow ConvictionSignal-backedSecondary

Nvidia's announcement of its new RTX Spark chip, based on ARM architecture, is seen as a catalyst for Microsoft's new Surface laptop and the broader SaaS market.

MSFTNeutralMedium ConvictionSignal-backedPrimary

Microsoft stock is being analyzed for its potential to double, with the creator detailing the bear case including risks from AI impacting productivity software and co-pilot monetization.

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