Source Post

EPISODE 51: HOW LOW CAN SEMI STOCKS GO? CAN INTEL & GOOGLE SURPRISE TO THE UPSIDE?

The creators discuss the impact of a new Chinese LLM, Kimmy 3, on the AI market and its potential to reduce costs compared to US-developed models. They analyze the semiconductor market, noting that despite some pullbacks, key stocks like Nvidia and TSM are showing resilience. The broader concern is whether strong earnings will continue to be rewarded by the market, potentially leading to further rotation.

Linked Mentions

Tickers discussed in this post

RIVNNeutralLow ConvictionResearch Only

Rivian had a really good quarter, mentioned in the context of the car business being better than expected.

AAPLNeutralMedium ConvictionSignal-backedSecondary

Apple has been performing strongly, ripping up while other Mag 7 stocks were down, and the creator notes this positive trend ahead of earnings.

GOOGLNeutralMedium ConvictionSignal-backedSecondary

Google's stock may see upside if expectations for its upcoming earnings are achievable, despite recent capex-driven declines.

ORCLNeutralLow ConvictionResearch Only

Oracle's demand for memory is part of the broader hyperscaler market assessment.

PANWBullishMedium ConvictionSignal-backedSecondary

Palo Alto Networks looks strong, showing a cup formation and nearing a new all-time high if it breaks past $370, indicating money flowing into cybersecurity.

CRWDBullishHigh ConvictionSignal-backedPrimary

Crowdstrike is a winner in cybersecurity, finding support at $200 and making new all-time highs, with the creator looking to sell puts against it.

FICONeutralLow ConvictionResearch Only

The creator mentions a past successful trade selling puts on FICO during noise about its influence in the mortgage market.

IBMNeutralMedium ConvictionSignal-backedPrimary

IBM pre-announced negative news, causing a significant stock drop, and the creator is skeptical about its ability to recover, though it found support at the 200-week moving average.

MSFTNeutralLow ConvictionSignal-backedSecondary

Microsoft, not trading near its highs, is a concern for the creator, who worries about its potential reaction to quarterly results, drawing a parallel to Netflix's recent sharp decline.

NOWNeutralLow ConvictionSignal-backedSecondary

Service Now, not being near its highs, is a concern for the creator, who fears it could face a significant sell-off if its upcoming quarterly results are not strong.

Linked Signals

Tracked calls opened from this post

CRWD
buy opened Jul 18, 2026
-9.75%